President Trump’s Greatest Legacy
In Part 1, I discussed the brief, short-term effects that will result from Trump’s election to the presidency: A drop in the stock market, a panic in the media, and a burst of riots around the country; all of which, of course, are very temporary.
In Part 2, I went over his domestic policy – including the repeal of ObamaCare, the appointment of Antonin Scalia’s successor, and a reversal of the Iran Nuclear Deal – as well as the inevitable earthquakes that will shake both major parties right down to their core, altering the Republican Party and all but destroying the Democratic Party.
Now, for the third and final part, I shall go over what I consider to be the most important effect that a Trump Administration will have, not just on us here in America, but indeed, in the entire world.
Long-Term Effects: Foreign Policy
This is where Trump will make his biggest impact, and includes perhaps the two most important issues of this entire campaign: Foreign policy (including Russia and the Syrian conflict, ISIS, China, and free trade such as the TPP), and immigration (AKA the wall).
On immigration, Trump will, of course, reverse all of President Obama’s executive orders on this issue (or at least the ones that haven’t already been overturned by the courts), and will work extensively to pass some kind of immigration reform. This is the issue where Trump will face the most difficulty with the GOP Congress, as he will obviously have to sacrifice some of his more hardline stances to the moderate members. The wall itself will take many years to even begin to plan out, and I predict that Trump will not be able to get it done in his first term; he’ll probably even make this declaration in one of his State of the Union addresses, citing the sheer difficulty of the logistics, negotiating between all four border states, and the budget, as reasons for why he needs a second term to “get the job done.” His critics will pounce on this as a “broken promise,” but the argument will make enough sense, and his other successes over time will overshadow this, to the point where it won’t seriously harm his reelection bid in 2020.
Foreign policy is the big one. First, I boldly predict that Trump will actually cause a de-escalation of tensions between Russia and the United States. Say what you will about Trump, but I find it all around much easier to believe that Putin has more respect for Trump than he ever will for Hillary Clinton. President Trump, behind closed doors, will use the same negotiating magic that he used with Mexican President Peña Nieto, and Putin will see that Trump is a far more serious man than he is made out to be – and, if nothing else, definitely more willing to follow up on any threats than Hillary Clinton would.
As Trump promised in the second debate, the two superpowers will work together on the one major common ground we share: Our mutual hatred of ISIS. Trump will form a coalition with both Russia and a handful of the Middle Eastern states, where each power will convince different states: The U.S. can work with Egypt, Jordan, and Israel, while Russia can work with Syria and Saudi Arabia, to form a broad coalition that unifies the strongest states in the region, even the unlikeliest of allies, under the one common goal they all share. Trump may even try to pull Iran into this coalition by promising to not “rip up” the Nuclear Deal in exchange for their cooperation (although he’ll still probably rip it up anyway), but what Iran actually does at this point is one thing I cannot predict.
In return for the defeat of ISIS, Trump will turn a blind eye to Russia continuing to help Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in his civil war against the rebels, which, with ISIS out of the way, will soon end in favor of Assad’s government. This will draw screams of bloody murder from the self-righteous, bleeding heart humanitarians – on both the left and the right – who support the rebels as if this was a Star Wars movie, but Trump – once again – won’t care. The end of the Syrian Civil War, most importantly, will finally see the end of the leakage that has been the cause of the refugee crisis, and Europe can finally start to rebuild (more on that later).
With these more immediate foreign policy victories out of the way to boost his credibility, President Trump will then finally face China and free trade. After pulling the United States out of both NAFTA and the TPP, he will face China with all the momentum. I am of the belief that his threats of severe tariffs are simply tough guy talk, and he will first approach China calmly, in a Nixon-esque manner and once again behind closed doors. Ultimately, I am still unsure of what may actually result from this, as any number of things can happen – from China refusing any of Trump’s deals, to continuing their aggression in the South China Sea, or possibly accepting whatever terms President Trump may lay down.
My personal opinion is that Trump would be very wise to consider the possibility of strengthening relations with India – another heavily-populated country with strong manufacturing potential – in order to offset the tense and deep trading relationship we have with China, in the same style by which Nixon opened relations with China in order to offset U.S.-Soviet relations. Trump has, in the past, briefly hinted at this possibility and says he looks forward to working with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, so perhaps this is indeed more likely than one may think.
Conclusion: The Biggest Impact of the Trump Presidency
Last, I want to cover what I consider the most important thing that will come out of the Trump Presidency. I firmly believe that, as President, Trump will bring together and command a strong international alliance that I shall affectionately call “The League of Patriots.”
For better context, it is important to understand the current political climate throughout Europe right now. As some of you may already be aware, the spread of radical Islam and the increased intensity of new attacks such as Paris, Nice, Brussels, and Istanbul, among too many others, have led to a defiant reactionary movement across Europe. This movement – detailed brilliantly by Foreign Policy contributor Robert Henderson’s piece on October 4 – consists of numerous other nationalist, populist, far-right parties gradually rising to power throughout Europe. These parties seek to push back against the spread of radical Islam through reinforcement of national borders, as well as reject globalism and its mascots such as the European Union, while also reaffirming individual national sovereignty and maintaining each country’s unique culture.
This movement, referred to by Geert Wilders as “The Patriot Spring,” has already seen the far-right take power in Switzerland, Poland, and Hungary. Similar far-right parties are among the three largest parties in the legislatures of Denmark, Finland, Sweden, and Austria. There are several more prominent factions of the far-right that appear to be on the verge of surprising underdog gains in such countries as the Netherlands, Germany, Italy, and possibly even France. And, of course, let us not forget what is currently the greatest victory of this movement, which took place earlier this year: Brexit. The movement has even seen success outside of Europe, with 2014 seeing the rise of India’s right-wing nationalist populist party, the Bharatiya Janata Party, and the subsequent ascension of Hindu nationalist Narendra Modi to the office of Prime Minister.
Trump is certainly not the beginning of this movement, but simply another player for this rising underdog team. However, he is undoubtedly going to become the most significant player in such an alliance of right-wing populist nationalists, all united for the common goal of defending their sovereign nations from the threats of radical Islam and globalism
Over the next few years – all within Trump’s first term – we could easily see all of these parties, and more, rise to power, with Trump’s surprise victory serving as the perfect shot in the arm. As a member of this movement, Trump will likely form strong alliances with such current leaders as Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, Polish President Andrzej Duda, Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydło, and the aforementioned Indian Prime Minister Modi. The alliance would then expand to include hypothetical leaders as Dutch Prime Minister Geert Wilders, Austrian President Norbert Hofer, French President Marine Le Pen, and others who would, ideally, rise by the end of his first term and serve for most of his (hopeful) second term.
Thus, this “League of Patriots” would be the lasting legacy of the Trump Presidency. Trump will ultimately unite and take command of the very movement that gave rise to his bid for the White House. This will be the single most powerful tool in combatting the great evil of our time, Radical Islam, while also stopping the dangerous onward trend of globalism, as Trump and his allies will boldly stand up to the United Nations, the European Union, and other such multinational organizations in the name of individual national sovereignty. Like Ronald Reagan’s valuable anti-Communist alliance with such leaders as Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and Pope John Paul II, which defeated the great evil of its time against all odds, this coalition of right-wing, nationalist, populist leaders from around the globe will usher in a new era of global prosperity, and will finally put the chaos of the 2000’s and the early 2010’s behind us.
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