Foreign Policy Advice for Donald Trump Part 3: Europe
Many in Europe are shocked by the results of the US Presidential elections. The NATO member states are concerned that Donald Trump's warm rhetoric towards Russia could result in the US abandoning its allies to the fate of Russian domination of Europe. Others are concerned that Trump's victory could inspire other right-wing populists to come to power in the EU member states.
This could lead to more countries exiting the European Union, dooming the superstate. However, if the nations of Europe continue down the self-destructive path of social welfare, open border immigration and giving up their sovereignty to the undemocratic European Union, they will ultimately doom themselves.
Donald Trump should ensure the nations of Europe, especially the members of NATO, that while the United States under his leadership they should not be concerned about the US leaving NATO and they can be rest assured knowing that America will always be there to protect other members. However, in regards to the EU and its domineering, globalist policies, he should do just the opposite and put pressure on the political elite in Brussels while showing support for conservative populists.
While it is often viewed as inappropriate for US Presidents to show support for a particular candidate in an election for another country, the fight against the globalist establishment is one that affects all nations, especially in Europe, and now is not the time for President Trump to play formalities. The European political theater should and most likely will receive a rude awakening from the Presidency of Donald Trump.
First and foremost, President Trump should assure the UK that the “special relationship” between our two countries is as strong and salient as ever. He should encourage Theresa May's Government to continue the process of the UK formally leaving the European Union and ensure that strong trade relations will continue between the US and UK. He should also ensure Britons that the UK does not need the EU bureaucracy to have a strong and thriving economy. The UK was limited from making trade deals without approval from Brussels as a member of the EU and now they will be able to shape bilateral trade relations with countries on their own accord. Trump should stand by PM May on this issue and also have UKIP Leader Nigel Farage as his right hand man in this relationship.
It may create some political discord between May and Farage, as they are from differing political parties, but Farage represents a large number of Britons that are discontent with the status quo and he and Trump can use that leverage against any members of May's Conservative Party that wish to backtrack on separating from the EU.
Next April, France is having a Presidential election. Currently, Marine Le Pen of the National Front, a conservative populist party, is currently leading in the polls. She and her party advocate for France exiting the EU, abandoning the Euro, returning back to the Franc and placing strict immigration policies, among other positions. This continuation of the “Brexit Trend” in Europe is happening from country to country.
If Marine Le Pen wins the presidential election and her party takes control of the Parliament, it could lead to a FREXIT, which would be the final nail in the coffin for the overbearing, undemocratic superstate that is the EU. Donald Trump should offer his solidarity to Le Pen, who praised him, his policies, and his candidacy. He shouldn't do so too overtly, as it is uncustomary for US Presidents to get involved in national elections or referendums (even though Obama did this with Brexit), but should make a statement or two showing support for Le Pen in the same way she did for him.
Two vital elections are taking place on December 4th: the Austrian Presidential Election and the Italian Constitutional referendum. While both will occur before he takes office, he can accomplish quite a bit if both results go in favor of the Conservative populists.
The Conservative Populist Candidate, Norbert Hofer of the Austrian Freedom Party has called for an Austrian exit from the EU if Brussels decides to expand its powers following the UK's official exit, or if Turkey becomes a member. He is also a strong advocate of cutting off the migrant flow from war stricken Islamic nations. Hofer is currently neck and neck in the polls with his opponent, Alexander Van der Bellen of the Green Party, who is pro-EU policy.
The referendum in Italy, brought to the table by PM Matteo Renzi, is supposed to end deadlock in the Italian Parliament in order to pass economic reforms, but many claim that the referendum will only give the Italian Government more power at the expense of checks and balances in a republican form of government.
Prime Minister Renzi, of the Center-Left, pro-EU, Democratic Party says he will resign if the referendum does not pass. As of late, the polls do not look in his favor, as many seem to be opposed to the idea of too much power being given to the central government. If the referendum fails, it could be another blow to the EU bureaucracy, as Renzi's resignation would lead to snap elections which could allow the large number of conservative populist anti-EU parties to gain power in the country. Depending on which party comes to power and who becomes the next Prime Minister, they could prove to be a dependable ally of President Trump.
Donald Trump needs to continue the strong relationship that exists between the nations of Europe, particularly those that are NATO members. He also needs to balance that with his newfound warming of relations with Russia by assuring the Europeans that having a form of detente with our former Cold War enemy does not mean an abandonment of our longstanding allies to an “inevitable” Russian invasion.
He also needs to fight the globalist institutions like the EU, that threaten the viability of nation states and give more power to corrupt bureaucrats, multinationals, and banking institutions that care little about the rule of law or democratic institutions. The President of the United States carries a large amount of influence by simply commenting on the internal political situations within other countries.
Donald Trump can use this power to continue the shift of power away from the globalist elites that run the EU and assist conservative populists in their goal to break free of the shackles of Brussels.